Predicting Y-Chromosome Haplogroup
Fig. 1

Genetic variation on the non-recombining portion of the Y chromosome contains information about the ancestry of male lineages. Because of their low rate of mutation, single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) are the markers of choice for unambiguously classifying Y chromosomes into related sets of lineages known as haplogroups, which tend to show geographic structure in many parts of the world. However, performing the large number of SNP genotyping tests needed to properly infer haplogroup status is expensive and time consuming. We present a novel alternative for assigning a sampled Y chromosome to a haplogroup.

We show that by applying modern machine learning algorithms, such as decision trees, Bayesian statistical models and support vector machines, we can predict with high accuracy the proper Y chromosome haplogroup of a sample by scoring a relatively small number of Y-linked short tandem repeats (STRs). Learning is based on a diverse ground-truth data set comprising pairs of SNP test results (haplogroup) and corresponding STR scores. We apply several independent machine-learning methods in tandem to learn formal classification functions. The result is an integrated high throughput analysis system that automatically classifies large numbers of samples into haplogroups in a cost effective and accurate manner.